Susceptible Infected Recovered Model estimates that Corona in India will end by May 21. The SIR Model which throws light on life cycle of a disease based on data from different countries, and helps to estimate the life cycle of a pandemic.
The SIR model, where S stands for the number of susceptible individuals, I for number of infected individuals and R represents the number of recovered individuals, is a differential model given by David Smith and Lang Moore which has been used in past as well to depict the growth and life time of a pandemic. This model has been successful in predicting Hong Kong Flu. This is being used to predict the end of novel COVID virus in various countries of the world. The equation is being evaluated with codes from Milan Batista and data from Our World in Data.
As per the model the novel virus will end in the country by May 21. In this instance, the estimated end date is the time for realizing 97% of the total expected epidemic cases. It is the start of the green region in the graph.
Currently, India has 26,494 corona cases including 824 deaths due to the novel virus.