• Print
close
Breaking news

A new line of argument has already come to dominate the public sphere: it’...read more The government has gone one step further to detect community spread of the coro...read more The government has issued an order to abolish the six allowances, including the...read more Aarogya Setu application launched by NIC is aimed to track COVID-19 affected pe...read more SEOUL| South Korea’s unemployment rate was unchanged in April as the coronavi...read more Amid the outbreak of Corona pandemic in the country, Indian government has been...read more Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his address to the nation on Tuesday indicated ...read more Corona infection in the country is taking a macabre form. So far, more than 74 ...read more Congress General Secretary Priyanka Gandhi Vadra has written a letter to UP Chi...read more On Tuesday, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a package of Rs 20 lakh cror...read more

Corona Will End in India on May 21?

Susceptible Infected Recovered Model estimates that Corona in India will end by May 21. The SIR Model which throws light on life cycle of a disease based on data from different countries, and helps to estimate the life cycle of a pandemic.

The SIR model, where S stands for the number of susceptible individuals, I for number of infected individuals and R represents the number of recovered individuals, is a differential model given by David Smith and Lang Moore which has been used in past as well to depict the growth and life time of a pandemic. This model has been successful in predicting Hong Kong Flu. This is being used to predict the end of novel COVID virus in various countries of the world. The equation is being evaluated with codes from Milan Batista and data from Our World in Data

As per the model the novel virus will end in the country by May 21. In this instance, the estimated end date is the time for realizing 97% of the total expected epidemic cases. It is the start of the green region in the graph.

Currently, India has 26,494 corona cases including 824 deaths due to the novel virus.

Show 1 Comment

1 Comment

  • avatar image
    Samyek
    April 27, 2020

    How will it end in India under this incompetent leadership of BJP? More 8 lacs cases awaiting in Ahmedabad!

Story Page

Download Our Mobile App